Rosebud
06-25-2007, 03:49 PM
CNN posted an interesting article today analyzing how Bloomberg might affect the Presidential race, if he decides to run.
Previous CNN polls had indicated that (at this moment) Barack Obama could beat any Republican candidate in a two-way race for President. If the Democratic candidate was Hilary Clinton, she would lose to Guiliani. However, new polls seem to reverse that outcome, and if Bloomberg gets in the race, that changes things quite a bit as well.
Poll: Bloomberg could have Perot-like effect (http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/)
WASHINGTON (CNN) — New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg — who left the Republican Party last week — could have a serious impact on the 2008 presidential race, rivaling billionaire Ross Perot’s influence in 1992, a new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll suggests.
In the new poll’s three-way matchups among registered voters, Democratic frontrunner Sen. Hillary Clinton would hold a slight edge in an all-New York race with 41 percent, compared to Republican frontrunner Rudy Giuliani’s 38 percent and Bloomberg’s 17. In a two-way matchup, Clinton and Giuliani are effectively tied, 49-48 percent, with a sampling error of 3.5 percentage points.
In a race pitting Sen. Barack Obama, D-Illinois, against Sen. John McCain, R-Arizona, and Bloomberg, Obama drew 40 percent; McCain, 34 percent; and Bloomberg, 21. Without the New York mayor, Obama would edge McCain 48-44 percent, according to the poll. The poll showed a possible Giuliani-Obama race a statistical dead heat, with Giuliani at 48 percent and Obama at 46 percent. But Obama led Fred Thompson by a wide margin, 52 percent to 40 percent, the survey found.
Previous CNN polls had indicated that (at this moment) Barack Obama could beat any Republican candidate in a two-way race for President. If the Democratic candidate was Hilary Clinton, she would lose to Guiliani. However, new polls seem to reverse that outcome, and if Bloomberg gets in the race, that changes things quite a bit as well.
Poll: Bloomberg could have Perot-like effect (http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/)
WASHINGTON (CNN) — New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg — who left the Republican Party last week — could have a serious impact on the 2008 presidential race, rivaling billionaire Ross Perot’s influence in 1992, a new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll suggests.
In the new poll’s three-way matchups among registered voters, Democratic frontrunner Sen. Hillary Clinton would hold a slight edge in an all-New York race with 41 percent, compared to Republican frontrunner Rudy Giuliani’s 38 percent and Bloomberg’s 17. In a two-way matchup, Clinton and Giuliani are effectively tied, 49-48 percent, with a sampling error of 3.5 percentage points.
In a race pitting Sen. Barack Obama, D-Illinois, against Sen. John McCain, R-Arizona, and Bloomberg, Obama drew 40 percent; McCain, 34 percent; and Bloomberg, 21. Without the New York mayor, Obama would edge McCain 48-44 percent, according to the poll. The poll showed a possible Giuliani-Obama race a statistical dead heat, with Giuliani at 48 percent and Obama at 46 percent. But Obama led Fred Thompson by a wide margin, 52 percent to 40 percent, the survey found.